The number of new patients infected with corona in the country, the rate of identification, the death everything is increasing again. Although not very much so far, this upward trend in infection has been seen since Eid. However, the infection is relatively high in the districts bordering India. Deaths have also been on the rise in the north and southwest of the country for some time. This region has a large number of border districts.
Public health experts say the lockdown needs to be tightened in border districts where infections are more prevalent, in addition to ensuring hygiene to control infections. In these districts, infection detection testing and contact tracing (identification of infected people who have come in contact) should be stepped up. Properly manage the patient. Otherwise, the situation may take a bad turn like last March-April.
The first case of coronavirus was detected in the country on March 6 last year. The second wave of infection in the country started from March this year. The government announced a lockdown from April 5 to control the infection. There are still some restrictions. There is complete or partial lockdown in eight border districts. The impact of the lockdown began to subside in mid-April. Since the holy month of Eid-ul-Fitr, there has been a resurgence of the trend since mid-May. Seeing the huge turnout for Eid-centric shopping and travel, public health experts and the Department of Health feared that the infection would increase again after Eid.
According to the standards of the World Health Organization, the rate of patient identification is an indicator of understanding whether the situation is under control in a country. In a country where the patient detection rate is less than 5 percent as opposed to the test for more than two consecutive weeks, the situation is considered to be under control. In addition, the reduction in deaths and infections for three consecutive weeks indicates that the situation is under control. But these three indicators are now upward.
The holy Eid-ul-Fitr was celebrated in the country on 14 May. In the 63rd week of infection in the country (May 18-22), the patient detection rate was less than 6 percent compared to the total number of tests. It has been growing ever since. In the 65th week (May 30 to June 5) that ended on Saturday, the patient identification rate has risen to more than 10 percent. Of these, the Department of Health yesterday identified more than 11 percent of patients in a single day, the highest in the last 39 days.
Although the detection rate has been increasing for two weeks, the number of new patients has been increasing for three weeks. In the 72nd week of infection (May 9-15), a total of 6,072 patients were identified. Since then the number has increased every week. A total of 12,000 patients have been identified in the week ended yesterday. The number of new patients has increased by more than 23 percent in one week.
The epidemic, which lasted for about a year and a half, also saw an increase in deaths within two to three weeks of new patients starting to grow. After five consecutive weeks of downward trend, there has been an upward trend in deaths since the week ended yesterday. The death toll has risen by more than 25 percent compared to the previous week.
Rajshahi has the highest death rate as a division. Compared to the previous week, the death toll in Rajshahi has increased by 55 percent. Khulna division is in the second place, death has increased by about 42 percent. The death rate in Dhaka division has increased by about 35 percent. On the other hand, deaths have decreased in Barisal, Sylhet and Mymensingh divisions.
The Department of Health has reported 43 deaths in 24 hours from 6am on Friday to 8am yesterday. The highest number of 12 people died in Rajshahi. At this time 12 people died in Dhaka.
Mushtaq Hossain, an adviser to the government’s Institute of Pathology, Disease Control and Research, told Prothom Alo that the infection is slowly increasing again. Until management activities become more effective, the infection will increase. Now we have to pay special attention to the border areas. Those who are coming to the country with passports, their management is getting fairly good. But those who are coming and going without a passport, their health check-up is not being quarantined. This increases the risk. The matter must be taken seriously.