Soon third wave of corona likely to come. It is a different matter that it is not expected to be as severe as the second wave. This has been claimed in a study. The study has been published in the Indian Journal of Medical Research (IJMR). Based on mathematical ‘modelling’ analysis, this study states that the third wave of corona virus can be reduced to a great extent by expanding the scope of vaccination.
The study discusses a scenario in which 40 percent of the population took both doses within three months of the second wave. It states that the effect of vaccination is to reduce the severity of infection by 60 percent. According to the study, this shows that vaccination can significantly reduce the severity during a possible third wave.
The authors of ‘Probability of third wave of corona in India: Mathematical modeling based analysis’ include Sandeep Mandal, Balram Bhargava and Samiran Panda of the Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) and Nimalan Arinaminpati of Imperial College London.
Considering four hypotheses regarding the third wave, the study said, infection-based immunity may decline over time. People who have already been infected can become infected again, even if the current virus remains unchanged.
third wave of corona