July 29, 2021

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Coronavirus Third Wave: Corona’s third wave may arrive in August, peak in September: SBI report

 

Highlights:

  • Corona’s third wave may come in August
  • Corona’s third wave may be at peak in September
  • The claim made in the SBI report

New Delhi
The third wave of the dreaded corona virus is likely to hit India by mid-August, while cases may peak in September. This apprehension has been expressed in a report released on Monday. However, the second wave in India is not over yet. The report titled ‘Covid-19: The Race to the Finishing Line’ published by SBI Research said that vaccination is the only saver as global data shows that on average, third wave cases are close to peak cases at the time of second wave. 1.7 times.

In India only 4.6 per cent of the population has been fully vaccinated, while 20.8 per cent have received a single dose, which is the US (47.1 per cent), UK (48.7 per cent), Israel (59.8 per cent), Spain (38.5 per cent), France ( 31.2) is much lower than other countries. According to the report, Soumya Kanti Ghosh, Group Chief Economic Advisor, State Bank of India, said, “India has achieved its second wave peak on May 7 and as per the current data, the country is experiencing around 10,000 cases in the second week of July. can.’

Cases may increase from August 21

“However, based on historical trends, cases may start rising by the second fortnight of August 21 with peak cases after at least a month,” he said. The current cases are now hovering around 45,000 since last week, indicating that the devastating second wave is yet to end in the country. “Even in the first wave, there was a gradual decline in the cases, with around 45,000 cases reported for 21 days before any meaningful drop in the daily cases,” Ghosh said.

Will the Delta Plus variant cause havoc?
Apart from this, 51 cases of Delta Plus variant have been detected so far from 12 states. New cases in the top 15 districts, which are mostly urban, rose again in June. But the good thing is that their mortality rate is stable for three months. On the other hand, the share of rural districts in new cases has been refusing to decline significantly since July 2020, when it exceeded 45 per cent and has fluctuated since then.

Will Delta Plus cause third wave in India? Know what experts say

‘Vaccination is the only solution’
Ghosh said vaccination seems to be the only answer. India has started giving more than 40 lakh vaccination doses per day. The report noted that states such as Rajasthan, Delhi, Himachal Pradesh, Kerala and Uttarakhand have already given both vaccines to a large percentage of the population above 60 years, but overall vaccination is low in rural areas. Tamil Nadu, Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, Assam, Bihar and Jharkhand have a small proportion of people above 45 years of age who have been vaccinated.

It is necessary to follow the guidelines
The report said that these states need to pick up the pace in vaccination. The Delta strain, which has been detected in the US, UK, China, Japan, Poland, Portugal, Russia and Switzerland for the second time in April and May, hit India. It is the predominant form in the UK and 95 per cent of cases are now being sequenced. Citing the example of countries that are properly immunized like the UK and Israel, Ghosh said, ‘no one can become complacent even after getting the vaccine’. Other measures like masks, social distancing and being Kovid-appropriate are necessary.

Thousands of doctors were trained to deal with the third wave

Negligence increased after relaxation of rules

Significantly, after the reduction in corona cases and relaxation in rules, cases of negligence are coming up across the country. Whether it is the markets of Delhi or tourist places, huge crowds of people are gathering everywhere in violation of Corona rules. A picture of a huge crowd of tourists in Manali is going viral on social media. After which people are apprehensive of the third wave of corona coming soon due to such negligence. Manali and 3rd wave continued to trend on Twitter throughout the day on Monday.

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On Saturday, a crowd of tourists gathered in Manali like this

.