After the death of LJP founder Ram Vilas Paswan and the JD(U) becoming the number three party in the assembly, the political landscape in Bihar has been left open. Political experts believe that now RJD chief Lalu Prasad Yadav has to play a role in this. At this time, there are signs of change in the politics of Bihar. Along with RJD, all major parties are on the verge of massive internal change and uncertainty. In such a situation, the question is arising whether the alliance of existing political parties in the social equation and political scenario of the state will continue till the 2024 parliamentary elections and 2025 Bihar assembly elections or will there be a change?
Actually, at present there are four parties in Bihar NDA, BJP-JDU, Hum and VIP. NDA alliance is in power under the leadership of Nitish Kumar. The eyes of the NDA alliance are also on Asaduddin Owaisi’s AIMIM, along with allies of the Grand Alliance – RJD, Congress, Left, whose five MLAs have reached the assembly for the first time.
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JDU has already started efforts to strengthen itself. The erstwhile Rashtriya Lok Samta Party (RLSP), led by former Union Minister Upendra Kushwaha, has already merged with JD(U). Kushwaha has been made the chairman of the JDU Parliamentary Board.
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On the other hand, there has been a split in the LJP and there has been a stir between the two factions. LJP’s major parliamentary party leader Pashupati Kumar Paras has become a Union minister, while late Ram Vilas’s son Chirag Paswan is fighting hard to get back the reins of the party. However, the options before them are limited. Alternatively, Chirag Paswan along with Tejashwi Yadav can seek blessings from Lalu Yadav.
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This prospect has forced the BJP and the JD(U) to form alliances with social groups and afresh. Even before Paras took the coup in the LJP, senior BJP leaders such as BJP state chief Dr Sanjay Jaiswal and party MP Janak Ram linked Dalit affairs with ‘love jihad’, indicating that Muslims in many districts of Bihar Minorities are harassing Dalits.
BJP ready to woo Paswan and Manjhi
Meanwhile, BJP national leader also held a meeting with HAM(S) leader Jitan Ram Manjhi in Delhi. This meeting was a clear indication that the BJP was ready to woo the Paswans and people from the Manjhi (Mushar) caste among the Dalits. In fact, Paswan and Manjhi form a major part of the Dalit population in Bihar.
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Nitish trying to recreate Luv-Kush equation
Similarly, by promoting Upendra Kushwaha, Nitish has tried to recreate the Luv-Kush (Koiri-Kurmi) equation among the OBC groups. However, efforts are also being made to distance Extremely Backward Caste (EBC) groups from Nitish, as recently Pramod Chandravanshi, former JD(U) leader from Magadha region, in a Junani attack on Union Minister and JD(U) national president RCP Singh. was seen.
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NDA in strong position to rule Bihar: BJP
Despite these emerging tensions, pressures and cracks in the social cohesion, the BJP is almost convinced that the NDA is in the right position to rule Bihar. BJP spokesperson Nikhil Anand said, “The four-party NDA will continue to rule on its agenda of giving a corruption and crime-free state in Bihar.” He said that “NDA will win not only the parliamentary elections of 2024, but also the assembly elections of 2025.”
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Congress will remain in the Grand Alliance
Political experts agree that BJP and JD(U) keep attacking RJD, Lalu and Tejashwi at the same time, and try to create confusion among RJD and its voters over the ambitions of Misa Bharti and Tej Pratap. Lalu’s family affairs will have to be handled first. Sometimes, news circulates from the NDA camp that Congress MLAs will part ways to join hands with Nitish. But Congress leader Rahul Gandhi has strengthened the anti-RSS line. Which means RJD and Congress will definitely remain in alliance.