April 17, 2021

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Fear of a worse situation

A kind of lockdown has been going on across the country for a week since last Monday as a final step in controlling the infection. On the second day of the government ban, the country has surpassed all previous records of deaths and identities. The highest number of people (8 people) died in one day on Tuesday. The infection has been identified in 8 thousand 213 people. This is also the highest in the last 13 months.

Public health experts say the situation is likely to get worse. The extent to which ongoing loose restrictions will control infection control will be understood in two more weeks. Up to this point, the progression of the infection may have continued for at least two weeks. Similarly, the death toll is expected to rise further in the next three weeks.

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) of the United States Agency for Disease Control and Prevention has set four levels for citizens of the country to consider infection when traveling to a country. Bangladesh is now in the fourth position in their list. This is the level where the infection is very high. On April 2, the CDC issued a travel warning for Bangladesh.

The CDC warned on its website that the current situation in Bangladesh is such that anyone vaccinated would be at risk of being infected while traveling there. If you have to travel to Bangladesh, you must take all doses of the vaccine before traveling, you must wear a mask and keep a distance of six feet from others.

The CDC determines the fourth level considering the last 28 days of infection. In the case of a region or country with a population of more than 200,000, if the total infection rate in 28 days is more than 100 people per 100,000 population, then it falls to the fourth level.

 

Meanwhile, analyzing the data of the Department of Health, it is seen that in the last 28 days, about 1 lakh new patients have been identified in Bangladesh. For every 1 lakh population, the infection rate is more than 600.

After a long period of control of the situation in the country, there has been an upward trend in infection since mid-February. Then from the second week of March the infection began to grow rapidly. In such a situation, even though various restrictions have been imposed to control the infection, there is indifference among the people to follow the hygiene rules and the government is not trying to enforce the hygiene rules. Demonstrations are taking place in different parts of the country, including the capital, to lift the ban.

In such a situation, Health Minister Zahid Malik said at a function in Dhaka yesterday that infection and death could be out of control if government guidelines are not followed to deal with corona.

Since March 29, more than 5,000 new patients are being identified every day. Of these, more than 6,000 new patients for three days. From March 30 to yesterday, the daily death toll is over 50 for a week. Earlier, the Department of Health reported more than 50 deaths from the epidemic for a total of seven days (not continuous, isolated).

Mushtaq Hossain, a consultant at the government’s Institute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research (IEDCR), told Prothom Alo that the country is now going through a delicate situation. There is an increase in the number of infections. It is much steeper than the first wave. The trend of new patient growth is expected to continue for the next two weeks. He said most of those who are now dying were infected three weeks ago. If there is no effective treatment, the death rate will increase in proportion to the patient.

This pathologist said that lockdown is an effective measure in controlling the infection. But marginal people are having a lot of problems. Now there is danger on both sides. Action must be taken by coordinating both aspects. You don’t just have to give a lockdown. Emphasis should be placed on isolating patients, quarantining those who come in contact with them, and expanding immunization faster.

Bangladesh is one of the countries in the world where the number of corona patients is increasing rapidly. According to the World Health Organization (WHO) (updated Monday), Bangladesh ranks 16th among the countries with the highest number of patients identified in the last 24 hours.

When the first wave of infection was at its peak in the country, samples of 14,000 to 18,000 people were tested every day. Now 25 to 30 thousand samples are being tested. But that doesn’t mean that the number of tests is increasing just because new patients are growing. Because unlike the test, the patient identification rate is now above 20 percent. From the last week of May last year to the third week of August, the detection rate was over 20 percent. From then on it was downward. In the last one week, the detection rate is again above 20 percent. This rate says that Bangladesh is far from controlling the infection. According to the criteria set by the World Health Organization, the situation is under control if the patient identification rate in a country is below 5 percent for more than two consecutive weeks.

In late 2019, the first coronavirus infection was detected in Wuhan, China. Gradually it spread all over the world. The first infection was reported in Bangladesh on March 8 last year. The first death was reported on March 17.

 

According to the Department of Health, the total number of infected people in the country has exceeded 8 lakh till yesterday. Till yesterday, a total of 6 lakh 51 thousand 752 people have been diagnosed with the infection. Of these, 9,384 people died. And 5 lakh 56 thousand 373 people have recovered. According to the Department of Health, eight people have died of corona in the last 24 hours. Earlier, a maximum of 74 people were killed in one day on June 30 last year.

 

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