In 10 days, the number of deaths due to coronavirus in the country has come down to less than 90, i.e. 6 people. Earlier, the death toll on April 13 was 69; But the next day, April 14, it rose to 96. Since then, there have been more than 6 deaths per day and the highest number of deaths was on April 19, 112 people. The death toll has been declining in the last few days. Experts say the death toll will drop further by the end of this week.
Experts say the death toll in the scientific equation with the infection continues to fluctuate. According to their analysis, the highest number of deaths in two weeks was among the victims when the highest number identified in the country was six to seven thousand. The death toll is now slowly declining as the number of identities continues to decline. That means the death toll is likely to drop to almost half of what it was a week later, based on the level of detection rates in the past week. However, in addition to such optimism, experts also expressed concern that if the control system is normalized together, there is a risk of a faster increase in infections after Eid or a third wave of corona in the country.
Health Department Adviser. Mushtaq Hossain told Kaler Kantha, “We are now seeing the benefits of the two-step control system that has been in place since April 5, with a reduction in detection and deaths.” One more week later the death toll will drop by half as much as it is now in proportion to the infection over a week. If the infection continues to decrease, the number of deaths will decrease in the future. ‘
However, the pathologist said at the same time, “If people walk carelessly without following the rules of hygiene, they will have to face a terrible situation again.” We are especially concerned about the Eid crowd ahead. If people stumble, the third wave will hit the country after Eid, which could be worse than the second wave. ‘
Dr. Mushtaq said the deadline for opening the shop was not right, adding that if it had to be opened, the deadline should be extended. In other words, if the shops are open from morning till late at night, the crowd of people will be scattered at different times of the day, not everyone will stumble together. Apart from this, after opening shopping malls and shops, the question of opening public transport will also come up. It is not clear how it will be handled. Earlier it was instructed to carry half the passengers; But that too was not properly observed. Now if the number of transports can be increased and if each organization can arrange for staff to come and go on its own responsibility, the pressure on public transport will be reduced and the hygiene rules will be much adhered to. Otherwise the danger will increase.
Another public health expert, former director of the Department of Disease Control, Professor. Bay-Nazir Ahmed has said almost the same thing to Kaler Kantha. “The success that we are seeing in Lockdown now is very optimistic,” he said. In the next 8/10 days, death will be reduced a lot. But the problem is, there are doubts about whether we can sustain this achievement in the case of infection. If the lockdown is lifted in the middle or everything is relaxed, the goal will not be met. Rather, as the infection decreased, so did the risk of recurrence. At the same time, if everything goes back to normal during Eid, it is almost certain that we will have to pay the ultimate price again after Eid. ‘
According to the regular press release of the Department of Health, 8 people died in the previous 24 hours from 8 am on Friday, 3,829 people were newly identified and 5,225 people recovered. In all, out of the total 7,39,623 people identified in the country so far, 6,47,064 have recovered, many are undergoing treatment and 10,069 have died.
According to the notification, the detection rate in 24 hours is 14 percent. On the other hand, 72 men and 28 women were among the latest victims. One is under 10 years of age, six are between 31 and 40 years of age, six are between 41 and 50 years of age, 15 are between 51 and 60 years of age and 60 are over 60 years of age. Of them, 53 are from Dhaka division, 18 from Chittagong division, three each from Rajshahi, Khulna, Sylhet and Rangpur and five from Mymensingh. A total of 53 people died at the government hospital, 34 at the private hospital and one died on the way to the hospital.